Wednesday
Feb222012

Is on-bill financing better than PACE?

Could Be a Boon for US Smart Grid Firms

Katherine Tweed: February 22, 2012

In terms of smart grid trends, the United Kingdom ranks high in the areas of raw excitement for vendors. With a goal of installing 47 million meters by 2020, and an open bid for $7.5 billion in communications contracts, companies large and small are looking to be a part of what’s happening in the U.K.

Starting in October 2012, there is one more area that should get a lot of attention: Green Deal. The program, which is run by the government but privately financed, will help homeowners and businesses with energy efficiency improvements up to £10,000 ($16,500) with no upfront costs.

“Green Deal, in a nutshell, is a framework that enables firms to offer consumers the opportunity to invest at no upfront cost and attach the charge to their utility bill,” explained Dan Monzani, deputy director of Green Deal legislation and finance at the U.K.’s Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC), which is overseeing the program.

If it sounds a little like PACE financing, Monzani is quick to point out that it is actually quite different. Instead of being tied to the mortgage, the financing is tied to the utility bill on the property. Some of the most vociferous opponents of PACE programs in the U.S. were mortgage lenders, who are totally out of the picture in the Green Deal scheme.

If a homeowner, for example, wants to receive money for an upgrade, he or she must contact someone who is approved by the program to do an impartial assessment. From there, the homeowner can use an accredited, approved contractor to the work. If the person moves, the financing stays tied to the utility bill at the house, and the new homeowner is aware before the purchase of the Green Deal fee attached to the bill.

The types of retrofits eligible for the program will include upgrades that will stay with the building, improve the energy efficiency and pay for themselves in a reasonable amount of time. For homes, much of the money will likely go to insulation upgrades. It also means that energy-efficient smart appliances, which could be ripped out when someone moves, will not be part of the Green Deal.

On the back end of the deal, utilities will be collecting money, but they are not the lenders. The utilities will receive a small portion as an administration charge for running the billing program. The money is coming from a consortium of banks that are putting up the money, a total of $21.5 billion in the next decade, with the assumption that they will receive a steady payback through the Green Deal. The investments will likely be packaged and sold to retirement funds.

Insulation will be one focus for homes, but there are a variety of other energy efficiency upgrades that will be included in the program. Monzani noted that something like window glazing, which offers some increase in efficiency, but is also done for aesthetic reasons, would be partially -- but not totally -- covered by the Green Deal. “If you can demonstrate your product saves money on the typical energy bill,” said Monzani, “you can be in the Green Deal.”

He also hinted that smart buildings controls, if they could be proven to save enough energy, would also qualify. “It’s very much designed to work around the whole-house retrofit,” said Monzani. He expects that contractors will be offering products covered by the Green Deal, and also others that may improve convenience or efficiency, even if they’re not part of the deal, when they are working with customers. After all, insulation isn’t very sexy, even if it saves money, but getting some cool new smart thermostats might seem like a good buy if the insulation is already free.

Having energy efficiency assessors and contractors in millions of homes could be a boon for home energy management companies such as Onzo, Tendril, Trilliant, EnergyHub, AlertMe and others that are competing, or looking to compete, in the U.K. market.

But it’s not just for folks on the home front. “We think the small business sector will be a big winner,” Monzani said of the Green Deal. From small stores to hotel chains, there will also be upgrades available for the commercial sector.

The Green Deal is a separate initiative from other energy-focused programs initiated by the U.K. government, such as smart metering and feed-in tariffs. Instead of tying them all together, the government will let the private sector find ways to bundle the offerings in ways that work for customers.

For private companies that want to serve the market, partnering will be key. Some firms like Trilliant are already thinking that way by forming alliances that can leverage each partner firm's platform.

Although the utilities don’t seem like winners in the Green Deal, Monzani said many were very supportive of the program. British Gas expects to see more money from energy services than energy delivery by 2020, so the Green Deal is a perfect project to pitch in order to frame the organization as much more than just a utility delivering gas and electrons.

Many other European countries and U.S. regulators are watching the Green Deal to see if it could be tweaked for their own markets. In the U.S., on-bill financing is already catching on as a means to allow commercial customers to undertake energy efficiency upgrades, and California is considering on-bill financing for residential retrofits.

Currently, the U.K. government is seeing a lot of companies interested in Green Deal and it’s finalizing the list of eligible upgrades that will make the cut to be included in the program. For now, the DECC is just ironing out the wrinkles to make sure it’s a seamless launch in October. “It’s a complex scheme,” he said, noting that it took a lot of work to make sure the interaction between the government, banks and utilities is smooth. “We know it’s complex in its back wiring, so that it can be simple for the consumer on the front end.”

Tuesday
Feb212012

Will Italy's FiTs Survive the Fall of Berlusconi?

By Rachana Raizada February 21, 2012
Sunday
Feb192012

Cape Wind Gets a Big Break As Wind’s Tax Break Gets Stopped

U.S. offshore wind is celebrating as the rest of the wind industry scrambles.

Greentech Media By:Herman K. Trabish: February 17, 2012

Congress failed to include wind’s Production Tax Credit (PTC) in the deal on the payroll tax holiday extension. Without a PTC extension, the wind industry will likely see frantic activity in 2012 and fall off a cliff in 2013.

Every turbine built by December 31, 2012 qualifies for a 2.2-cent tax credit for every kilowatt-hour generated over 10 years. Getting towers into the ground this year will therefore take preference over preparation for U.S. development beyond this year. Developers have already begun walking away from 2013 and 2014 projects.

They have also begun preparations for future development in places like Latin America, Southeast Asia, and Turkey where federal supports are in place.

U.S. manufacturers will fill orders placed last year and early this year. They will then begin looking for other industries that need things like ball bearings, bolts and blade resins. Construction workers won’t have a moment to catch their breath between jobs this year, but will begin thinking about other industries on New Year’s Eve.

Some hopeful Capitol Hill insiders predict Congress will, with the November election behind them, pass the PTC in a December lame duck session. But the damage will have already been done.

When Congress used the PTC as a political football and allowed it to lapse in 1999, the wind industry’s installed capacity fell 93 percent the following year; when it did so again in 2001, the drop was 73 percent. The 2003 lapse produced a 77 percent drop.

This time around, impacts are likely to be worse. In the early 2000s, no more than 25 percent of a turbine’s 8,000 to 10,000 components were made domestically. In 2011, over 60 percent were.

The economic impacts will, according to a study by Navigant Consulting for the American Wind Energy Association (AWEA), be large enough to have state, regional and national economic repercussions. Without a PTC, Navigant predicted, the country will likely lose nearly 40,000 of today’s jobs and nearly $10 billion from the current economy.

Navigant also predicted that if the PTC were, like the solar industry’s investment tax credit (ITC), extended through 2016, the U.S. would add more than 25,000 jobs and a billion dollars in investments.

The same day that Congress turned its back on the wind industry, Massachusetts governor Deval Patrick announced a huge break for Cape Wind, potentially the first U.S. offshore wind project.

As part of its merger with Northeast Utilities, Massachusetts utility NSTAR agreed to a power purchase agreement (PPA) with Cape Wind for 27.5 percent of the proposed project’s 468-megawatt nameplate capacity.

Cape Wind spokesperson Mark Rodgers called the PPA “a major step forward for Cape Wind” and said it will “help clinch the first-mover advantage for Massachusetts in this emerging offshore wind industry in the U.S.”

In December, the Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court (SJC) ruled acceptable the price approved by the state Department of Public Utilities (DPU) for the PPA between Cape Wind and New England utility National Grid for 50 percent of Cape Wind’s output. The NSTAR PPA will be structured similarly and is unlikely to be challenged.

The National Grid PPA’s first-year price of 18.7 cents per kilowatt-hour, increasing 3.5 percent per year for the 15-year contract, was challenged by project opponents who argued it was a burden on Massachusetts ratepayers. The SJC ruled that Cape Wind has “unique attributes” and offers National Grid’s customers benefits unavailable from other renewables.

Cape Wind-generated electricity is, for instance, available at peak demand periods, Rodgers noted, and often beats the peak period spot market rate. A Charles River study, Rodgers added, found Cape Wind’s electricity could save the state’s electricity customers “billions” and help meet the mandated 15 percent renewables by 2020 requirement.

The PPA was, however, structured on the assumption of incentives. In the absence of a PTC, Rodgers said, the project and the ratepayer will share an increased cost burden, and that makes things “more challenging.” But Cape Wind was proposed over a decade ago and has fought a host of challenges. “We’re determined to move ahead and we’re going to make the project happen.”

Though it would be possible for Cape Wind to sell the remaining 22.5 percent of its output in New England’s high demand electricity spot markets, the “preferred option,” Rodgers said, “would be to find other long-term power purchase agreements.” The combination of the NSTAR deal and the unanimous SJC ruling will, Rodgers said, “help our efforts to market the additional power.”

With DPU approval of the NSTAR PPA, Rodgers explained, Cape Wind will be able, at long last, to enter the financing stage of development. In its review of the National Grid PPA, an independent consultant estimated the project will cost $2.6 billion, according to Rodgers.

Cape Wind will be built in Nantucket Sound, five to 13 miles off Cape Cod. It will use Siemens 3.5-megawatt turbines, which have a proven record of reliability in European offshore projects.

An onshore interconnection for Cape Wind at the Barnstable substation on the coast of Cape Cod has been approved by the state and by ISO New England, Rodgers said. The goal now “is to begin construction sometime in 2013. It will take 2.5 years.”

By then, maybe even Congress will come around.

Thursday
Feb162012

What’s Going On With Corporate Investors?

 

Rob Day: February 16, 2012, 8:55 AM

Walt Frick posted a good rebuttal to the Wired "cleantech bust" article recently, in which he points out that venture dollars into the sector remain high.

This is true, but as one of my fellow panelists at the Kellogg PE/VC conference yesterday pointed out, a lot of those dollars are simply follow-ons into existing investments. And furthermore, corporate investors have really been filling the gap recently.  One lawyer I spoke with recently who sees a lot of cleantech transactions told me that over the past 12 months, most transactions he's seen have included a strategic investor as the predominant "new money" in the deal.

It's clear that many large corporations have determined that there will be growth opportunities in emerging clean technologies, and at a time when many corporations have been hoarding cash they are thus able to put some money at work in venture investments in the sector.  This is very encouraging for the sector, of course.

But corporate venture investments have a history of piling on at the END of cycles. Does this current wave of investments portend bad things for the cleantech venture sector, given the lagging indicator they've often been?

The alternative optimistic view says that "this time is different", because various clean technologies are reaching a point of maturation where they are "ready for prime time" -- and this just happens to be at a point in time where corporations have capital and VCs don't.  And in addition, that the generally horribly ineffective channels for clean technologies means that large corporate partners do indeed have value to add, as opposed to other "bulges" in corporate venture investing, where they were just buying late into the party.

At the risk of saying "this time is different" (famous last words), I do tend to believe this latter, optimistic view.  Mostly because I don't see a lot of evidence that corporate venture groups are dramatically overpaying to buy their way into "hot" companies.  Indeed, I see a lot of bargain-hunting and serious evaluation of underlying technologies instead of just momentum investing among corporate VCs.  I do believe that many large corporations have determined that clean technologies will be strategic growth areas for them over the long run, and that now is a buyer's market so it's an opportune time to forge some relationships, investment-oriented and otherwise.

But even if so, there's still a significant disconnect going on.  While these corporate venture groups are investing in growth opportunities, the operating units within these larger companies are adopting cost-saving clean technologies as slowly as ever.

A long, long time ago, I and a colleague wrote about four different ways "sustainability" can be used to create economic value for large companies.  The first is simply to help ensure "right to operate" -- avoiding major environmental screw-ups.  The second is as a means of identifying cost savings via waste reduction.  The third is adding new products with resource-efficiency advantages, and the fourth is redefining the entire business.  More on this framework here.

Corporate venture groups are primarily concerned with the third of these opportunities -- new add-on businesses.  But there's a huge opportunity in the cost-saving category that is being missed by these same companies.

I see a lot of industrial energy efficiency startups right now, for example, that are having a hard time getting large corporates to act quickly to purchase new lighting / controls / etc. systems that would be relatively easy to implement and have compelling ROIs.  You would typically think that a 2 year payback period is a no-brainer for a corporate operating manager to pitch internally, yet I'm seeing even 6 month paybacks not get the traction you would expect.  Why?  Mostly because these aren't strategic priorities.

The corporate world has shifted a bit so that C-suites are often focused on executing on a top 3 set of priorities. And rarely is "make our facilities run more efficiently" one of these top 3 stated priorities.  Without a specific strategic mandate, the plant manager fights an uphill battle getting the CFO to pay attention, and the CFO doesn't want to spend time pushing these opportunities down on plant managers.  And then there's the "all the other stuff" dynamic -- plant managers have three priorities themselves: Production, safety, and all the other "stuff".  Energy/etc. cost savings falls into this distant third category.

I found it ironic that our cleantech panel yesterday was at the same time as a panel on how PE firms can create additional returns by driving operational improvements at their portfolio companies.  Ironic, because we should have combined the panels.  Indeed, thanks to efforts such as the Environmental Defense Fund's Green Returns project, PE firms are actually helping drive adoption of resource-efficient technologies pretty effectively within their portfolios.  

That's because they've made it a strategic priority (because it's such low-hanging fruit with rapid returns). But too often I go out and talk with a corporate venture group, and we'll be comparing notes on investment areas of interest, and they make it clear that their mandate only covers revenue growth opportunities, they have no ability to invest in technologies that could save their company costs.  Even at companies like WalMart that are doing a pretty effective job of making a priority of resource efficiency in their operations, the venture group is forbidden from investing in companies that could become vendors to their facilities.  

This is a major strategic disconnect.  And in my opinion, a mistake.  The most direct way to add to earnings per share is to reduce the costs necessary to create the same dollar of revenue.  But some of the very same large corporations now investing into somewhat risky cleantech venture capital deals aren't effectively adopting many of the readily available and proven technologies that could save their operations millions in costs.  You, Gentle Reader, are a shareholder in some of these companies, no doubt, so how do you feel about that trade-off?

If corporate leaders are indeed serious about driving future returns through investments in cleantech, they need to make sure that's an urgent priority for their Ops managers as well.  Cost savings through adoption of new efficiency technologies should be a priority at every large firm.  

If it takes your plant managers 9 months to agree to purchase a system that has a 6 month ROI, you're doing it wrong.

Monday
Feb132012

City of Palo Alto to Offer Feed-In-Tariff

 

What do Germany, Italy, Gainesville, Florida, Sacramento, California and Palo Alto, California have in common?

Well, as of March 5, all of those places will have solar feed-in tariffs (FIT). That's if Palo Alto's City Council passes the feed-in-tariff pilot program it has developed over the last few quarters.

It's a pilot program for the City of Palo Alto Utilities (CPAU) -- the first year is capped at 4 megawatts and meant for medium-sized commercial rooftops with a minimum size of 50 kilowatts per installation. The FIT is applicable to solar only, although other renewable energy sources could be considered later on. The city will pay $0.14 per kilowatt-hour for 20-year contracts.

Palo Alto is arguably the heart of Silicon Valley, home to dozens of venture capital firms and thousands of new companies armed with a startup and innovation culture fueled by its immediate neighbor, Stanford University. The city itself has about 26,000 electric meters and a peak load of approximately 180 megawatts.

The program limits itself to medium and large commercial solar rooftops in the interest of keeping workload issues to a minimum in the early stages of this endeavor.

The $0.14 per kilowatt-hour figure was based on the city's avoided cost. Here's the calculation:

  • $0.070 for energy
  • $0.034 green premium
  • $0.006 local capacity value, essentially avoided distribution grid costs
  • $0.019 avoided transmission access charges (TAC), an amount paid in California for every kilowatt-hour that is delivered from the transmission grid.
  • $0.006 avoided transmission losses
  • Total: $0.1355 per kilowatt-hour

 

So, the $0.14 per kilowatt-hour FIT price includes a $0.0045 premium and was agreed upon as a number that would attract developer interest. The cost of a fully subscribed program would be $29,000 per year; the city council estimates that the cost to the utility customer would be $0.01 per month. At this scale and modest cost, the city gains experience with the permitting, interconnection, metering, and billing process while developers gain experience in working with Palo Alto. (Note that Gainesville, Florida's FIT price was in the $0.26 to $0.32 range, which is good for developers, but perhaps not so good for municipalities.)

Craig Lewis, the Director of the Clean Coalition, a distributed generation advocacy group, attended the February 7 Palo Alto City Council meeting and commented that he saw this as "a good program, because it is constrained and not open to residential rooftops." He added, "It delivers the trifecta of being cost-effective, timely, and environmentally sustainable, and the pilot program is designed for success by avoiding pitfalls like dealing with tax complications of residential-level projects." 

"We think 14 cents is where participants can make a reasonable return," said Jon Abendschein, Palo Alto's Resource Planner.

Detractors of feed-in tariffs have claimed that the prices can never be set at a proper rate and that auction mechanisms are a more equitable solution. Others have argued that having no subsidy at all is the right solution. In the meantime, Palo Alto will likely have a FIT in place come March 5.